May, 22, 2020
May, 22, 2020
Providing a comprehensive understanding of geopolitical risk events and their impact on investment and supply chains. This 3-part webinar, explored the ways in which newly emerging risk will reshape relations between states, trading patterns and international supply chains.
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As the world teeters on the brink of the greatest depression since the 1930s, the world’s leading economic power succumbs to Covid-19 and international institutions creak under the nationalist tide that is shaping government responses to the pandemic, the political and economic order that emerges from the crisis may differ significantly from what came before.
This 3-part webinar series, explored the ways in which Covid-19 is reshaping the future global order into one that is increasingly fragmented, isolationist and nationalistic, as leaders battle to contain the pandemic and compete for finite medical resources. The variability of the death rate in countries that superficially would have been expected to have similar outcomes is notable, as is the damage being wrought to different types of economies by the lockdown.
All countries are being negatively impacted and the surge in public debt will shape future economic relations. Will private lenders continue to finance sovereigns with chequered records in servicing their debt and will credit rating agencies instigate another round of downgrades? Will a significant rise in inflation and taxation be required to enable this heavily debt laden world to operate?
The trajectory of countries coming out of the crisis will influence the new balance of power. On current indicators, the US may be last to exit the crisis, whereas China is beginning to return to work. Mutual dependency requires both economies to be fully functioning to pull the world out of recession, but will the new round of infections in north-east China does not bode well for other nations as they try to move beyond lockdown.
What will this mean for the future of international power relations, patterns of trade and the structure of supply chains. Will globalisation and international institutions survive or will the surge of nationalist policy continue?
Covid-19 and the reshaping of country, sovereign and political risk
• Explore the ways analysts distinguish between country, sovereign and political risk and understand how these metrics will be revised in the Covid-19 world.
• Identify the factors that have made countries more or less vulnerable to Covid-19.
• Analyse a world where traditional power metrics have been redrawn.
• Consider how heightened levels of public debt will impact sovereign creditworthiness.
Covid-19 and the redrawing on international supply chains
• Analyse the impact of the shock to demand and supply, the curtailment of liquidity and supply chain disruption on the world economy.
• Identify the sectors most vulnerable to supply chain disruption and the impact on longevity and shareholder returns.
• Consider the impact of a retreat from global supply chains and a resurgence of domestic manufacturing and agriculture on trade flows.
• Analyse the potential for home working to transform the commercial property market and the ancillary services that supply it.
How will Covid-19 change the geopolitical risk landscape?
• Identify winners and losers in the international power hierarchy post-Covid-19.
• Understand whether Covid-19 will be an accelerator of existing trends or cause a geopolitical break with what went before.
• Consider the role of international institutions in a fragmented political order.
• Explore popular political legitimacy in a post Covid-19 world and the leaders that delivered.
Why is this webinar different?
• Unparalleled expertise of the speakers who are active in the market
• Practical framework for analysis of how Covid-19 is shaping country, political and sovereign risk
• Range and breath of topics and regions covered
• Proprietary data on variation of impact of Covid-19 on countries and regions within countries
• Opportunity to submit questions to speakers in advance of the webinar
• The chance to gain CPD points
The GTR Training webinar, three-part series, was hosted on Zoom. For questions, please contact email@example.com.
Dr Elizabeth Stephens is an investment and country risk advisor and Managing Director of Geopolitical Risk Advisory, a geopolitical tech company. The company uses data analytics to give financial, corporate and high net worth clients the advantage in understanding how geopolitical risk moves markets. Elizabeth founded Geopolitical Risk Advisory after ten years as Head of Credit & Political Risk Advisory at JLT Specialty.
Christine Shields is an independent economic advisor specialising in global macro-economic issues. Since 2014, she has been a consultant to Oxford Economics, one of the largest economics consultancies in the world. From 2006 -2013, Christine ran the Country Risk Research function in Standard Chartered Bank where she focused on political and economic risk.
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Any questions regarding this Policy and our privacy practices should be sent by e-mail to firstname.lastname@example.org or by writing to Data Protection Officer at, Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd, 4 Hillgate Place, London, SW12 9ER, United Kingdom. Alternatively, you can telephone our London headquarters at +44 (0) 20 8673 9666.
Established in 2002 and with offices in London and Singapore, Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd is the world’s leading trade and trade finance media company, offering information, news, events and services for companies and individuals involved in global trade.
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This Data Protection Policy explains when and why we collect personal information about people who visit our website, how we use it, the conditions under which we may disclose it to others and how we keep it secure.
Why do we collect information from you?
Our primary goal in collecting personal data from you is to give you an enjoyable customised experience whilst allowing us to provide services and features that will meet your needs.
We collect certain personal data from you, which you give to us when using our Site and/or registering or subscribing for our products and services. However, we also give you the option to access our Sites’ home pages without subscribing or registering or disclosing your personal data.
We also collect certain personal data from other group companies to whom you have given information through their websites (including, by way of example, Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd and subsidiaries, in accordance with the purposes listed below). Should we discover that any such personal data has been delivered to any of the Sites, we will remove that information as soon as possible.
This Data Protection Policy ensures Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd:
We may change this Policy from time to time so please check this page occasionally to ensure that you’re happy with any changes. By using our website, you’re agreeing to be bound by this Policy.
The Data Protection Act 1998 described how organisations – including Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd – must collect, handle and store personal information. These rules apply regardless of whether data is stored electronically, on paper or on other materials. To comply with the law, personal information collected must be stored safely, not disclosed unlawfully and used fairly.
The Data Protection Act is underpinned by eight important principles. These say that personal data must:
We obtain information about you when you use our website, for example, when you contact us about products and services, when you register for an event, register to receive eNewsletters, subscribe or register for a trial to our GTR magazine/website.
On some Sites, Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd collects personal data such as your name, job title, department, company, e-mail, phone, work and/or home address, in order to register you for access to certain content, subscriptions and events. In addition, we may also store information including IP address and page analytics, including information regarding what pages are accessed, by whom and when.
This information is used to administer and deliver to you the products and/or services you have requested, to operate our Sites efficiently and improve our service to you, and to retain records of our business transactions and communications. By using the Sites and submitting personal information through the registration process you are agreeing that we may collect, hold, process and use your information (including personal information) for the purpose of providing you with the Site services and developing our business, which shall include (without limitation) the purposes described in the below paragraphs.
Where, as part of our Site services, we enable you to post information or materials on our Site, we may access and monitor any information which you upload or input, including in any password-protected sections. Subject to any necessary consents, we also monitor and/or record the different Sites you visit and actions taken on those Sites, e.g. content viewed or searched for. If you are a registered user (e.g. a subscriber or taking a trial), when you log on, this places a cookie on your machine. This enables your access to content and services that
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Please see paragraph 5 below for more information on cookies and similar technologies and a link to a page where you can turn them on or off.
Some of your personal data collected under paragraphs 1 and 2 above may be used by us to contact you by e-mail, telephone and/or post for sending information or promotional material on our products and/or services and/or those of our other group companies. We give you the opportunity to opt-out of receiving marketing communications. Further detail can be found on the applicable Site and in the footer of each marketing communication sent by us, our group companies or service providers. See also “Consents and opt-outs” section below. We will not share your information with third parties for marketing purposes.
We may analyse your personal information to create a profile of your interests and preferences so that we can contact you with information relevant to you.
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E-mail tracking is a method for monitoring the e-mail delivery to those subscribers who have opted-in to receive marketing e-mails from GTR, including GTR Africa, GTR Asia, GTR Americas, GTR Europe, GTR Mena, GTR eNews, Third party e-mails and GTR Ventures.
So that we can better understand our users’ needs, we track responses, subscription behaviour and engagement to our e-mails – for example, to see which links are the most popular in newsletters. They enable us to understand the consumers journey through metrics including open rate, click-through rate, bounces and unsubscribes. Any other purposes for which Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd wishes to use your personal data will be notified to you and your personal data will not be used for any such purpose without obtaining your prior consent.
To do this, we use pixel GIFs, also known as “pixel tags” – these are small image files that are placed within the body of our e-mail messages. When that image is downloaded from our web servers, the e-mail is recorded as being opened. By using some form of digitally time-stamped record to reveal the exact time and date that an e-mail was received or opened, as well the IP address of the recipient.
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Information collected at one Site may be shared between Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd and other group companies for the purposes listed above.
We may transfer, sell or assign any of the information described in this policy to third parties as a result of a sale, merger, consolidation, change of control, transfer of assets or reorganisation of our business.
Some of our Sites may have a message board, blogs or other facilities for user generated content available and users can participate in these facilities. Any information that is disclosed in these areas becomes public information and you should always be careful when deciding to disclose your personal information.
Services on the Internet are accessible globally so collection and transmission of personal data is not always limited to one country. Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd may transfer your personal data, for the above-listed purposes to other third parties, which may be located outside the European Economic Area and/or with a different level of personal data protection. However, when conducting transfers, we take all necessary steps to ensure that your data is treated reasonably, securely and in accordance with this Privacy Statement.
We are committed to keeping the data you provide us secure and will take reasonable precautions to protect your personal data from loss, misuse or alteration.
However, the transmission of information via the internet is not completely secure. Although we will do our best to protect your personal data, we cannot guarantee the security of your data transmitted to our Site; any transmission is at your own risk. Once we have received your information, we will use strict procedures and security features described above to try to prevent unauthorised access.
We have implemented information security policies, rules and technical measures to protect the personal data that we have under our control from:
All our employees, contractors and data processors (i.e. those who process your personal data on our behalf, for the purposes listed above), who have access to, and are associated with the processing of your personal data, are obliged to keep the information confidential and not use it for any other purpose than to carry out the services they are performing for us.
Everyone who works for or with Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd has some responsibility for ensuring data is collected, stored and handled appropriately. Each team handling personal data must ensure that it is handled and processed in line with this policy and data protection principles. However, the following people have key areas of responsibility. The board of directors is ultimately responsible for ensuring that Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd meets its legal obligations.
Name of Data Controller
The Data Controller is Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd. Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd is subject to the UK Data Protection Act 1998 and is registered in the UK with the Information Commissioner`s Office.
Upon request, we will provide you with a readable copy of the personal data which we keep about you. We may require proof of your identity and may charge a small fee (not exceeding the statutory maximum fee that can be charged) to cover administration and postage.
Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd allows you to challenge the data that we hold about you and, where appropriate in accordance with applicable laws, you may have your personal information:
In certain circumstances, the Data Protection Act allows personal data to be disclosed to law enforcement agencies without the consent of the data subject. Under these circumstances, Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd, will disclose requested data. However, the Data Controller will ensure the request is legitimate, seeking assistance from the board and from the company’s legal advisors where necessary.
We will occasionally update this Privacy Statement to reflect new legislation or industry practice, group company changes and customer feedback. We encourage you to review this Privacy Statement periodically to be informed of how we are protecting your personal data.
Exporta Publishing & Events Ltd aims to ensure that individuals are aware that their data is being processed, and that they understand.
To this end, the company has a privacy statement, setting out how data relating to individuals is used by the company. This is available on request and available on the company’s website.
We keep this Policy under regular review. This Privacy Statement was last updated in April 2018.